What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48085030535 in McKinney?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $466,608 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48085030535 in McKinney?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $466,608 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

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Parcel 48085030535 (McKinney) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48085030535, McKinney Home Price Forecast

Collin, TX · ZIP 75072 · Census Tract 48085030535 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$467K

Downside (P10)

$392K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$486K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$631K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$288K	$312K	$359K	$382K	$443K	$467K	$469K	$481K	$486K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$178,208	-$155,108	-$107,208	-$85,108	-$23,908		+$2,323	+$14,621	+$19,164
Growth % vs 2026	-38.2%	-33.2%	-23.0%	-18.2%	-5.1%		+0.5%	+3.1%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)							$390K	$408K	$392K
Upside (P90)							$572K	$620K	$631K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$390K to $572K

38.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$392K to $631K

49.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48085030535, McKinney on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).