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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Collin, TX · ZIP 75009 · Census Tract 48085030306 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$580K
Downside (P10)
$513K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$642K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$865K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $334K | $412K | $457K | $495K | $566K | $580K | $605K | $627K | $642K |
| YoY Change | +23.6% | +10.9% | +8.2% | +14.4% | +2.5% | +4.4% | +3.6% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $484K | $486K | $513K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $720K | $785K | $865K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$484K to $720K
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$513K to $865K
54.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina | $567K | $642K | +13.2% | |
| Dallas | $581K | $660K | +13.6% | |
| Richardson | $586K | $652K | +11.3% | |
| Fairview | $578K | $640K | +10.7% | |
| Plano (Tract 031661) | $577K | $632K | +9.4% | |
| Plano (Tract 031680) | $585K | $626K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina | $567K | $642K | +13.2% | |
| McKinney | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano (Tract 031625) | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas | $982K | $1.17M | +18.9% | |
| Plano (Tract 031678) | $639K | $757K | +18.5% | |
| Far North Dallas | $687K | $813K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina | $567K | $642K | $352K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Plano | $298K | $334K | $134K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.