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Collin, TX · ZIP 75002 · Census Tract 48085031408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $226K | $247K | $280K | $282K | $296K | $351K | $367K | $430K | $483K | $490K | $487K | $493K | $491K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$279,991 | -$264,591 | -$243,591 | -$210,491 | -$208,491 | -$193,891 | -$139,591 | -$123,191 | -$59,991 | -$7,291 | -$2,897 | +$2,477 | +$922 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.1% | -54.0% | -49.7% | -42.9% | -42.5% | -39.6% | -28.5% | -25.1% | -12.2% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $380K | $368K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $605K | $627K | $682K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$380K to $605K
46.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $682K
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | +0.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030509) | $494K | $562K | +13.9% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030533) | $485K | $529K | +9.0% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030540) | $490K | $532K | +8.4% | |
| Plano | $485K | $512K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | +0.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030524) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Prosper | $745K | $873K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | $319K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030903) | $226K | $243K | $160K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Collin, TX · ZIP 75002 · Census Tract 48085031408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$363K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$682K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $226K | $247K | $280K | $282K | $296K | $351K | $367K | $430K | $483K | $490K | $487K | $493K | $491K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$279,991 | -$264,591 | -$243,591 | -$210,491 | -$208,491 | -$193,891 | -$139,591 | -$123,191 | -$59,991 | -$7,291 | -$2,897 | +$2,477 | +$922 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.1% | -54.0% | -49.7% | -42.9% | -42.5% | -39.6% | -28.5% | -25.1% | -12.2% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $380K | $368K | $363K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $605K | $627K | $682K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$380K to $605K
46.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$363K to $682K
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | +0.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030509) | $494K | $562K | +13.9% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030533) | $485K | $529K | +9.0% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030540) | $490K | $532K | +8.4% | |
| Plano | $485K | $512K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | +0.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030524) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Prosper | $745K | $873K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano · Allen · (Tract 314.8) | $489K | $491K | $319K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030903) | $226K | $243K | $160K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
