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Collin, TX · ZIP 75009 · Census Tract 48085030307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$551K
Downside (P10)
$444K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$591K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$911K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $360K | $382K | $450K | $486K | $534K | $551K | $556K | $573K | $591K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$190,535 | -$168,735 | -$100,835 | -$64,935 | -$16,535 | +$5,222 | +$22,400 | +$40,237 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -30.6% | -18.3% | -11.8% | -3.0% | +0.9% | +4.1% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $481K | $431K | $444K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $758K | $754K | $911K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$481K to $758K
49.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$444K to $911K
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | +10.1% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| Plano (Tract 031643) | $544K | $590K | +8.3% | |
| Plano (Tract 031330) | $555K | $595K | +7.3% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030531) | $541K | $570K | +5.3% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030544) | $560K | $578K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | +10.1% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030524) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Prosper | $745K | $873K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | $467K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030903) | $226K | $243K | $160K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Collin, TX · ZIP 75009 · Census Tract 48085030307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$551K
Downside (P10)
$444K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$591K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$911K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $360K | $382K | $450K | $486K | $534K | $551K | $556K | $573K | $591K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$190,535 | -$168,735 | -$100,835 | -$64,935 | -$16,535 | +$5,222 | +$22,400 | +$40,237 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.6% | -30.6% | -18.3% | -11.8% | -3.0% | +0.9% | +4.1% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $481K | $431K | $444K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $758K | $754K | $911K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$481K to $758K
49.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$444K to $911K
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | +10.1% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| Plano (Tract 031643) | $544K | $590K | +8.3% | |
| Plano (Tract 031330) | $555K | $595K | +7.3% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030531) | $541K | $570K | +5.3% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030544) | $560K | $578K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | +10.1% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030524) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Richardson | $544K | $639K | +17.4% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030517) | $487K | $571K | +17.3% | |
| Prosper | $745K | $873K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celina · 75009 · (Tract 303.7) | $537K | $591K | $467K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030903) | $226K | $243K | $160K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
