What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48073950301 in Jacksonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $191,358 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48073950301 in Jacksonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $191,358 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

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Parcel 48073950301 (Jacksonville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48073950301, Jacksonville Home Price Forecast

Cherokee, TX · ZIP 75766 · Census Tract 48073950301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$191K

Downside (P10)

$169K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$213K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$277K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$177K	$166K	$187K	$198K	$186K	$191K	$196K	$203K	$213K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$13,958	-$25,358	-$4,558	+$6,742	-$5,158		+$4,659	+$11,292	+$21,147
Growth % vs 2026	-7.3%	-13.3%	-2.4%	+3.5%	-2.7%		+2.4%	+5.9%	+11.1%
Downside (P10)							$166K	$166K	$169K
Upside (P90)							$236K	$251K	$277K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$166K to $236K

35.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$169K to $277K

51.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.1% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48073950301, Jacksonville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).