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Cameron, TX · ZIP 78586 · Census Tract 48061012201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$79K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$96K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$120K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $62K | $68K | $86K | $92K | $93K | $93K | $97K | $96K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$26,454 | -$30,154 | -$24,254 | -$6,554 | -$1,054 | +$761 | +$4,372 | +$3,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.6% | -32.6% | -26.2% | -7.1% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +4.7% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $74K | $79K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $107K | $116K | $120K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$80K to $107K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$79K to $120K
43.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | +2.0% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012510) | $95K | $106K | +12.3% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013206) | $90K | $99K | +9.3% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012800) | $93K | $102K | +9.1% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito | $91K | $98K | +8.4% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012508) | $90K | $95K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | +2.0% | |
| Brownsville | $65K | $79K | +21.5% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito | $195K | $231K | +18.6% | |
| Rio Hondo | $118K | $138K | +17.0% | |
| Harlingen | $102K | $119K | +16.9% | |
| East Cameron | $110K | $127K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | $41K | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013401) | $63K | $68K | $32K | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013903) | $64K | $69K | $32K | |
| San Benito | $55K | $58K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cameron, TX · ZIP 78586 · Census Tract 48061012201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$79K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$96K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$120K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $62K | $68K | $86K | $92K | $93K | $93K | $97K | $96K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$26,454 | -$30,154 | -$24,254 | -$6,554 | -$1,054 | +$761 | +$4,372 | +$3,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.6% | -32.6% | -26.2% | -7.1% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +4.7% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $74K | $79K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $107K | $116K | $120K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$80K to $107K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$79K to $120K
43.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | +2.0% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012510) | $95K | $106K | +12.3% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013206) | $90K | $99K | +9.3% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012800) | $93K | $102K | +9.1% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito | $91K | $98K | +8.4% | |
| Brownsville (Tract 012508) | $90K | $95K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | +2.0% | |
| Brownsville | $65K | $79K | +21.5% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito | $195K | $231K | +18.6% | |
| Rio Hondo | $118K | $138K | +17.0% | |
| Harlingen | $102K | $119K | +16.9% | |
| East Cameron | $110K | $127K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Fresnos-Laureles | $94K | $96K | $41K | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013401) | $63K | $68K | $32K | |
| Brownsville (Tract 013903) | $64K | $69K | $32K | |
| San Benito | $55K | $58K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
