What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48061010102 in Rio Hondo · 78583 · (Tract 101.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $192,817 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48061010102 in Rio Hondo · 78583 · (Tract 101.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $192,817 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.8%.

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Parcel 48061010102 (Rio Hondo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48061010102, Rio Hondo · 78583 · (Tract 101.2) Home Price Forecast

Cameron, TX · ZIP 78583 · Census Tract 48061010102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$193K

Downside (P10)

$162K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$206K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$255K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$145K	$152K	$146K	$169K	$185K	$193K	$194K	$199K	$206K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$48,017	-$40,617	-$47,017	-$24,217	-$7,417		+$1,637	+$6,593	+$13,194
Growth % vs 2026	-24.9%	-21.1%	-24.4%	-12.6%	-3.8%		+0.8%	+3.4%	+6.8%
Downside (P10)							$168K	$169K	$162K
Upside (P90)							$228K	$249K	$255K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$168K to $228K

30.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$162K to $255K

45.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.8% · Spread: 45%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48061010102, Rio Hondo · 78583 · (Tract 101.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).