What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48053960401 in Burnet · 78611 · (Tract 9604.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $386,298 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48053960401 in Burnet · 78611 · (Tract 9604.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $386,298 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

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Parcel 48053960401 (Burnet) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48053960401, Burnet · 78611 · (Tract 9604.1) Home Price Forecast

Burnet, TX · ZIP 78611 · Census Tract 48053960401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$386K

Downside (P10)

$332K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$426K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$556K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$269K	$286K	$344K	$379K	$370K	$386K	$403K	$414K	$426K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$117,298	-$99,898	-$42,198	-$6,898	-$16,198		+$16,416	+$27,558	+$39,753
Growth % vs 2026	-30.4%	-25.9%	-10.9%	-1.8%	-4.2%		+4.2%	+7.1%	+10.3%
Downside (P10)							$313K	$298K	$332K
Upside (P90)							$480K	$502K	$556K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$313K to $480K

41.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$332K to $556K

52.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.3% · Spread: 52%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48053960401, Burnet · 78611 · (Tract 9604.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).