What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48041002016 in South Brazos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $473,278 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48041002016 in South Brazos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $473,278 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

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Parcel 48041002016 (South Brazos) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48041002016, South Brazos Home Price Forecast

Brazos, TX · ZIP 77845 · Census Tract 48041002016 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$473K

Downside (P10)

$411K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$495K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$652K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$291K	$337K	$436K	$470K	$472K	$473K	$482K	$482K	$495K	$491K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$182,778	-$136,078	-$37,478	-$3,778	-$1,078		+$9,062	+$8,790	+$22,047	+$17,580
Growth % vs 2026	-38.6%	-28.8%	-7.9%	-0.8%	-0.2%		+1.9%	+1.9%	+4.7%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)							$421K	$421K	$411K	$432K
Upside (P90)							$575K	$639K	$652K	$566K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$421K to $575K

32.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$432K to $566K

27.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 27%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48041002016, South Brazos on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).