What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660705 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $279,453 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660705 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $279,453 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

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Parcel 48039660705 (Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660705, Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660705 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$279K

Downside (P10)

$232K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$313K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$395K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$203K	$236K	$240K	$244K	$272K	$279K	$286K	$290K	$313K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$76,853	-$43,553	-$39,353	-$35,153	-$7,853		+$7,018	+$10,990	+$33,734
Growth % vs 2026	-27.5%	-15.6%	-14.1%	-12.6%	-2.8%		+2.5%	+3.9%	+12.1%
Downside (P10)							$238K	$232K	$232K
Upside (P90)							$364K	$383K	$395K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$238K to $364K

43.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$232K to $395K

52.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.1% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48039660705, Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).