What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660402 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $372,687 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660402 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $372,687 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

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Parcel 48039660402 (Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660402, Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77581 · Census Tract 48039660402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$373K

Downside (P10)

$328K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$389K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$513K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$309K	$313K	$328K	$333K	$364K	$373K	$375K	$385K	$389K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$63,387	-$59,787	-$44,587	-$39,387	-$8,687		+$2,349	+$12,765	+$15,836
Growth % vs 2026	-17.0%	-16.0%	-12.0%	-10.6%	-2.3%		+0.6%	+3.4%	+4.2%
Downside (P10)							$317K	$312K	$328K
Upside (P90)							$431K	$476K	$513K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$317K to $431K

30.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$328K to $513K

47.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.2% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48039660402, Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).