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Bell, TX · ZIP 76571 · Census Tract 48027023404 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$330K
Downside (P10)
$275K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$434K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $191K | $237K | $241K | $248K | $239K | $215K | $211K | $243K | $259K | $311K | $330K | $337K | $337K | $340K |
| YoY Change | +24.4% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -3.4% | -10.3% | -2.0% | +15.2% | +6.7% | +20.2% | +6.0% | +2.2% | +0.1% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $288K | $288K | $275K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $395K | $413K | $434K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$288K to $395K
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$275K to $434K
46.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bell | $320K | $340K | +6.4% | |
| Southwest Bell | $310K | $359K | +15.9% | |
| Belton (Tract 021502) | $327K | $364K | +11.6% | |
| Killeen (Tract 022402) | $346K | $379K | +9.5% | |
| Belton (Tract 021702) | $312K | $338K | +8.3% | |
| Killeen (Tract 021908) | $339K | $350K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bell | $320K | $340K | +6.4% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023116) | $249K | $307K | +23.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023111) | $232K | $278K | +19.8% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023001) | $256K | $300K | +17.3% | |
| Temple | $243K | $284K | +16.5% | |
| Southwest Bell | $310K | $359K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bell | $320K | $340K | $159K | |
| Harker Heights | $90K | $95K | $63K | |
| Killeen (Tract 023500) | $82K | $85K | $59K | |
| Temple (Tract 020800) | $104K | $112K | $48K | |
| Killeen (Tract 022600) | $91K | $97K | $45K | |
| Temple (Tract 020702) | $79K | $89K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.