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Bell, TX · ZIP 76501 · Census Tract 48027020800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$101K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$137K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $76K | $76K | $77K | $63K | $59K | $60K | $57K | $63K | $103K | $101K | $102K | $110K | $112K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$25,773 | -$25,273 | -$25,173 | -$23,873 | -$37,473 | -$41,373 | -$40,973 | -$43,973 | -$37,673 | +$2,127 | +$1,489 | +$9,408 | +$11,645 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.6% | -25.1% | -25.0% | -23.7% | -37.2% | -41.1% | -40.7% | -43.6% | -37.4% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +9.3% | +11.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $90K | $89K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $127K | $131K | $137K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$93K to $127K
33.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$89K to $137K
42.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | +8.5% | |
| Temple | $79K | $89K | +13.0% | |
| Killeen (Tract 022900) | $112K | $120K | +7.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 022600) | $91K | $97K | +6.2% | |
| Harker Heights | $90K | $95K | +6.0% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023500) | $82K | $85K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | +8.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023116) | $249K | $307K | +23.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023111) | $232K | $278K | +19.8% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023001) | $256K | $300K | +17.3% | |
| Temple | $243K | $284K | +16.5% | |
| Southwest Bell | $310K | $359K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | $48K | |
| Temple (Tract 020701) | $128K | $140K | $69K | |
| Harker Heights | $90K | $95K | $63K | |
| Killeen (Tract 023500) | $82K | $85K | $59K | |
| Killeen (Tract 022600) | $91K | $97K | $45K | |
| Temple (Tract 020702) | $79K | $89K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bell, TX · ZIP 76501 · Census Tract 48027020800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$101K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$112K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$137K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $76K | $76K | $77K | $63K | $59K | $60K | $57K | $63K | $103K | $101K | $102K | $110K | $112K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$25,773 | -$25,273 | -$25,173 | -$23,873 | -$37,473 | -$41,373 | -$40,973 | -$43,973 | -$37,673 | +$2,127 | +$1,489 | +$9,408 | +$11,645 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.6% | -25.1% | -25.0% | -23.7% | -37.2% | -41.1% | -40.7% | -43.6% | -37.4% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +9.3% | +11.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $90K | $89K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $127K | $131K | $137K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$93K to $127K
33.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$89K to $137K
42.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | +8.5% | |
| Temple | $79K | $89K | +13.0% | |
| Killeen (Tract 022900) | $112K | $120K | +7.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 022600) | $91K | $97K | +6.2% | |
| Harker Heights | $90K | $95K | +6.0% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023500) | $82K | $85K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | +8.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023116) | $249K | $307K | +23.5% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023111) | $232K | $278K | +19.8% | |
| Killeen (Tract 023001) | $256K | $300K | +17.3% | |
| Temple | $243K | $284K | +16.5% | |
| Southwest Bell | $310K | $359K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temple · 76501 · (Tract 208) | $104K | $112K | $48K | |
| Temple (Tract 020701) | $128K | $140K | $69K | |
| Harker Heights | $90K | $95K | $63K | |
| Killeen (Tract 023500) | $82K | $85K | $59K | |
| Killeen (Tract 022600) | $91K | $97K | $45K | |
| Temple (Tract 020702) | $79K | $89K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
