Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bastrop, TX · ZIP 78662 · Census Tract 48021950806 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$344K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$485K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $171K | $179K | $219K | $256K | $337K | $344K | $339K | $360K | $367K | $352K |
| YoY Change | +4.9% | +22.3% | +16.8% | +31.4% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +1.9% | -4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $295K | $296K | $309K | $307K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $389K | $423K | $485K | $397K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$295K to $389K
27.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$307K to $397K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek-Red Rock | $337K | $367K | +8.9% | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950401) | $314K | $354K | +12.9% | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950403) | $351K | $380K | +8.0% | |
| Elgin (Tract 950202) | $361K | $381K | +5.3% | |
| Cedar Creek-Red Rock | $359K | $378K | +5.1% | |
| Elgin (Tract 950101) | $317K | $326K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek-Red Rock | $337K | $367K | +8.9% | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950506) | $192K | $225K | +17.4% | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950402) | $400K | $467K | +16.8% | |
| Smithville | $254K | $293K | +15.1% | |
| Elgin | $289K | $328K | +13.8% | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950505) | $286K | $324K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek-Red Rock | $337K | $367K | $175K | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950503) | $297K | $294K | $152K | |
| Cedar Creek-Red Rock | $284K | $309K | $152K | |
| Elgin | $262K | $267K | $147K | |
| Smithville | $254K | $293K | $124K | |
| Bastrop (Tract 950506) | $192K | $225K | $117K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.