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Austin, TX · ZIP 78613 · Census Tract 48453035700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$729K
Downside (P10)
$579K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$760K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+62% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $481K | $656K | $703K | $740K | $729K | $752K | $759K | $760K |
| YoY Change | +0.8% | +36.4% | +7.1% | +5.3% | -1.6% | +3.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $604K | $603K | $579K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $882K | $994K | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$604K to $882K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$579K to $1.18M
78.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Travis · Cedar Park · (Tract 357) | $744K | $760K | +2.2% | |
| Anderson Mill | $738K | $830K | +12.4% | |
| Bee Cave | $740K | $811K | +9.5% | |
| Cherrywood | $727K | $790K | +8.6% | |
| Canyon Creek | $730K | $782K | +7.2% | |
| Great Hills | $721K | $749K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Travis · Cedar Park · (Tract 357) | $744K | $760K | +2.2% | |
| North Austin | $410K | $501K | +22.2% | |
| South Austin (Tract 002448) | $333K | $406K | +22.1% | |
| Northeast Travis | $526K | $638K | +21.3% | |
| Steiner Ranch | $894K | $1.08M | +20.4% | |
| South Austin (Tract 002442) | $425K | $510K | +20.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest Travis · Cedar Park · (Tract 357) | $744K | $760K | $599K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 045800) | $239K | $256K | $121K | |
| Northwest Travis | $160K | $170K | $116K | |
| Riverside | $170K | $179K | $106K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 044800) | $118K | $135K | $68K | |
| South Austin | $67K | $73K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.