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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Atascosa, TX · ZIP 78011 · Census Tract 48013960500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$173K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$190K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $56K | $49K | $61K | $63K | $47K | $68K | $93K | $123K | $123K | $169K | $173K | $179K | $189K | $190K |
| YoY Change | -11.7% | +23.6% | +3.8% | -25.4% | +45.2% | +35.2% | +32.8% | +0.4% | +37.2% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +5.4% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $156K | $154K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $232K | $247K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$152K to $216K
35.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$154K to $247K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | $171K | $190K | +10.6% | |
| Jourdanton (Tract 960602) | $221K | $259K | +17.5% | |
| Pleasanton | $174K | $202K | +16.3% | |
| Poteet (Tract 960204) | $173K | $193K | +11.3% | |
| Poteet (Tract 960205) | $189K | $199K | +5.4% | |
| Jourdanton (Tract 960601) | $145K | $152K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | $171K | $190K | +10.6% | |
| Jourdanton | $221K | $259K | +17.5% | |
| Pleasanton (Tract 960403) | $174K | $202K | +16.3% | |
| Pleasanton (Tract 960401) | $110K | $123K | +11.3% | |
| Poteet | $173K | $193K | +11.3% | |
| Campbellton | $224K | $249K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | $171K | $190K | $92K | |
| Poteet (Tract 960204) | $173K | $193K | $82K | |
| Pleasanton | $110K | $123K | $74K | |
| Jourdanton | $145K | $152K | $73K | |
| Poteet (Tract 960300) | $121K | $123K | $61K | |
| Poteet (Tract 960206) | $81K | $85K | $41K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.