What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47155080903 in 2 · Sevierville · (Tract 809.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $404,776 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47155080903 in 2 · Sevierville · (Tract 809.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $404,776 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

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Parcel 47155080903 (2) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 47155080903, 2 · Sevierville · (Tract 809.3) Home Price Forecast

Sevier, TN · ZIP 37862 · Census Tract 47155080903 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$405K

Downside (P10)

$347K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$435K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$570K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$271K	$284K	$291K	$350K	$385K	$405K	$413K	$430K	$435K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$133,976	-$120,476	-$113,976	-$54,376	-$19,876		+$7,768	+$25,104	+$29,740
Growth % vs 2026	-33.1%	-29.8%	-28.2%	-13.4%	-4.9%		+1.9%	+6.2%	+7.3%
Downside (P10)							$350K	$344K	$347K
Upside (P90)							$483K	$531K	$570K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$350K to $483K

32.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$347K to $570K

51.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.3% · Spread: 51%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 47155080903, 2 · Sevierville · (Tract 809.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).