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Nashville, TN · ZIP 37211 · Census Tract 47037017500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$343K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$433K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$562K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $108K | $115K | $131K | $151K | $185K | $260K | $275K | $336K | $374K | $392K | $409K | $420K | $420K | $433K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$301,471 | -$294,271 | -$278,171 | -$258,371 | -$223,971 | -$149,371 | -$133,671 | -$73,471 | -$35,271 | -$16,871 | +$10,819 | +$11,469 | +$24,301 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -73.7% | -72.0% | -68.0% | -63.2% | -54.8% | -36.5% | -32.7% | -18.0% | -8.6% | -4.1% | +2.6% | +2.8% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $362K | $343K | $343K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $496K | $516K | $562K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$362K to $496K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$343K to $562K
50.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | +8.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013100) | $409K | $459K | +12.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 012702) | $405K | $451K | +11.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 017401) | $406K | $449K | +10.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010802) | $407K | $445K | +9.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018303) | $407K | $436K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | +8.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013701) | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018410) | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | $218K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010904) | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nashville, TN · ZIP 37211 · Census Tract 47037017500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$409K
Downside (P10)
$343K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$433K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$562K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $108K | $115K | $131K | $151K | $185K | $260K | $275K | $336K | $374K | $392K | $409K | $420K | $420K | $433K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$301,471 | -$294,271 | -$278,171 | -$258,371 | -$223,971 | -$149,371 | -$133,671 | -$73,471 | -$35,271 | -$16,871 | +$10,819 | +$11,469 | +$24,301 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -73.7% | -72.0% | -68.0% | -63.2% | -54.8% | -36.5% | -32.7% | -18.0% | -8.6% | -4.1% | +2.6% | +2.8% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $362K | $343K | $343K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $496K | $516K | $562K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$362K to $496K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$343K to $562K
50.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | +8.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013100) | $409K | $459K | +12.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 012702) | $405K | $451K | +11.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 017401) | $406K | $449K | +10.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010802) | $407K | $445K | +9.3% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018303) | $407K | $436K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | +8.5% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013701) | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018410) | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $399K | $433K | $218K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010904) | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
