What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47157020902 in Arlington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $442,577 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 47157020902 in Arlington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $442,577 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

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Parcel 47157020902 (Arlington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 47157020902, Arlington Home Price Forecast

Memphis, TN · ZIP 38002 · Census Tract 47157020902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$443K

Downside (P10)

$389K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$464K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$650K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$276K	$311K	$356K	$382K	$435K	$443K	$448K	$453K	$464K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$166,477	-$131,377	-$86,677	-$60,777	-$7,377		+$4,964	+$10,420	+$21,643
Growth % vs 2026	-37.6%	-29.7%	-19.6%	-13.7%	-1.7%		+1.1%	+2.4%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)							$381K	$377K	$389K
Upside (P90)							$553K	$602K	$650K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$381K to $553K

38.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$389K to $650K

56.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.9% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 47157020902, Arlington on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).