Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Hawkins, TN · ZIP 37642 · Census Tract 47073050502 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$198K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$216K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$291K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $121K | $130K | $147K | $150K | $152K | $160K | $193K | $198K | $193K | $198K | $205K | $212K | $216K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +7.4% | +12.9% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +20.7% | +3.0% | -3.0% | +2.8% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $183K | $172K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $232K | $256K | $291K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$173K to $232K
28.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$172K to $291K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 · Church Hill · (Tract 505.2) | $194K | $216K | +11.2% | |
| 4 area | $190K | $208K | +9.3% | |
| 1 | $214K | $233K | +9.0% | |
| Church Hill | $210K | $222K | +5.4% | |
| 3 | $186K | $193K | +4.0% | |
| 4 | $195K | $200K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 · Church Hill · (Tract 505.2) | $194K | $216K | +11.2% | |
| 7 (Tract 050900) | $125K | $138K | +10.7% | |
| 4 area | $190K | $208K | +9.3% | |
| 1 | $214K | $233K | +9.0% | |
| 6 | $158K | $171K | +8.2% | |
| 7 (Tract 050800) | $167K | $180K | +8.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.