County 47830, TN · Census Tract 47830002804 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$52K
Downside (P10)
$38K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$67K
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$120K
+132% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +132%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 47830 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $52K | $64K | $64K | $63K | $67K |
| YoY Change | +23.7% | -0.1% | -1.2% | +6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $45K | $42K | $37K | $38K | |
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $102K | $108K | $120K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$41K to $75K
65.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$38K to $120K
122.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002846 | $50K | $70K | +39.7% |
| Tract 004608 | $55K | $76K | +39.1% |
| Tract 004501 | $55K | $71K | +29.2% |
| Tract 004527 | $55K | $76K | +38.7% |
| Tract 004420 | $56K | $77K | +38.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001960 | $84K | $130K | +54.7% |
| Tract 001902 | $134K | $207K | +54.2% |
| Tract 000424 | $420K | $643K | +52.9% |
| Tract 005364 | $83K | $124K | +50.2% |
| Tract 000547 | $358K | $525K | +46.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources