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Carter, TN · ZIP 37643 · Census Tract 47019070100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$173K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$246K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $102K | $105K | $103K | $97K | $100K | $94K | $98K | $115K | $117K | $168K | $173K | $166K | $173K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$70,679 | -$68,079 | -$69,579 | -$75,279 | -$72,679 | -$78,479 | -$74,379 | -$58,079 | -$55,479 | -$4,879 | -$6,945 | +$11 | +$430 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.0% | -39.4% | -40.3% | -43.6% | -42.1% | -45.5% | -43.1% | -33.7% | -32.1% | -2.8% | -4.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $143K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $201K | $215K | $246K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $201K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $246K
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | +2.9% | |
| 1 (Tract 071302) | $171K | $188K | +10.1% | |
| 1 (Tract 071301) | $169K | $185K | +9.7% | |
| 2 | $173K | $186K | +7.3% | |
| 4 | $167K | $174K | +4.5% | |
| Elizabethton | $179K | $183K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | +2.9% | |
| 5 | $184K | $203K | +10.3% | |
| 1 (Tract 071302) | $171K | $188K | +10.1% | |
| 1 (Tract 071301) | $169K | $185K | +9.7% | |
| 6 | $194K | $210K | +8.3% | |
| Hampton area | $126K | $136K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | $107K | |
| 3 (Tract 071000) | $156K | $166K | $88K | |
| 1 | $171K | $188K | $85K | |
| 4 | $160K | $169K | $84K | |
| 3 (Tract 071200) | $141K | $144K | $77K | |
| Hampton area | $126K | $136K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Carter, TN · ZIP 37643 · Census Tract 47019070100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$173K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$246K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $102K | $105K | $103K | $97K | $100K | $94K | $98K | $115K | $117K | $168K | $173K | $166K | $173K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$70,679 | -$68,079 | -$69,579 | -$75,279 | -$72,679 | -$78,479 | -$74,379 | -$58,079 | -$55,479 | -$4,879 | -$6,945 | +$11 | +$430 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.0% | -39.4% | -40.3% | -43.6% | -42.1% | -45.5% | -43.1% | -33.7% | -32.1% | -2.8% | -4.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $144K | $143K | $139K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $201K | $215K | $246K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$144K to $201K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$139K to $246K
61.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | +2.9% | |
| 1 (Tract 071302) | $171K | $188K | +10.1% | |
| 1 (Tract 071301) | $169K | $185K | +9.7% | |
| 2 | $173K | $186K | +7.3% | |
| 4 | $167K | $174K | +4.5% | |
| Elizabethton | $179K | $183K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | +2.9% | |
| 5 | $184K | $203K | +10.3% | |
| 1 (Tract 071302) | $171K | $188K | +10.1% | |
| 1 (Tract 071301) | $169K | $185K | +9.7% | |
| 6 | $194K | $210K | +8.3% | |
| Hampton area | $126K | $136K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethton | $168K | $173K | $107K | |
| 3 (Tract 071000) | $156K | $166K | $88K | |
| 1 | $171K | $188K | $85K | |
| 4 | $160K | $169K | $84K | |
| 3 (Tract 071200) | $141K | $144K | $77K | |
| Hampton area | $126K | $136K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
