What is the home price forecast for Parcel 46081966602 in Lead?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $190,991 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 46081966602 in Lead?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $190,991 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

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Parcel 46081966602 (Lead) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 46081966602, Lead Home Price Forecast

Lawrence, SD · ZIP 57754 · Census Tract 46081966602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$191K

Downside (P10)

$166K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$199K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$264K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$161K	$161K	$172K	$195K	$191K	$191K	$191K	$200K	$199K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$29,991	-$29,691	-$19,391	+$4,409	+$209		-$260	+$8,836	+$7,631
Growth % vs 2026	-15.7%	-15.5%	-10.2%	+2.3%	+0.1%		-0.1%	+4.6%	+4.0%
Downside (P10)							$163K	$162K	$166K
Upside (P90)							$225K	$240K	$264K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$163K to $225K

32.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$166K to $264K

49.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.0% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 46081966602, Lead on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).