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Jackson, SD · Census Tract 46071850382 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.03M
Downside (P10)
$501K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$899K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.47M
+43% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $955K | $896K | $899K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$41,939 | -$73,463 | -$131,974 | -$128,768 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +4.1% | -7.1% | -12.8% | -12.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $699K | $583K | $497K | $501K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$699K to $1.4M
61.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$501K to $1.5M
107.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | -12.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | -9.4% | |
| Jackson (Tract 080000) | $1.01M | $874K | -13.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 600008) | $1.08M | $921K | -14.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | -12.5% | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | +6.8% | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | +1.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | $965K | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | $731K | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | $706K | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | $67K | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jackson, SD · Census Tract 46071850382 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.03M
Downside (P10)
$501K
-51% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$899K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.47M
+43% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -51% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $955K | $896K | $899K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$41,939 | -$73,463 | -$131,974 | -$128,768 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +4.1% | -7.1% | -12.8% | -12.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $699K | $583K | $497K | $501K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$699K to $1.4M
61.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$501K to $1.5M
107.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | -12.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | -9.4% | |
| Jackson (Tract 080000) | $1.01M | $874K | -13.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 600008) | $1.08M | $921K | -14.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | -12.5% | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | +6.8% | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | +1.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 850382 | $1.03M | $899K | $965K | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | $731K | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | $706K | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | $67K | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
