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Jackson, SD · Census Tract 46071400004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$776K
Downside (P10)
$398K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$675K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+48% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $776K | $783K | $706K | $661K | $675K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,784 | -$70,250 | -$115,790 | -$101,717 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +0.9% | -9.0% | -14.9% | -13.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $513K | $463K | $402K | $398K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$513K to $1.1M
73.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$398K to $1.1M
110.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | -13.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | -9.4% | |
| Jackson (Tract 080000) | $1.01M | $874K | -13.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | -13.1% | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | +6.8% | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | +1.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | $748K | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | $731K | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | $706K | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | $67K | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jackson, SD · Census Tract 46071400004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$776K
Downside (P10)
$398K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$675K
-13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+48% by 2030
Base case: -13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $776K | $783K | $706K | $661K | $675K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,784 | -$70,250 | -$115,790 | -$101,717 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +0.9% | -9.0% | -14.9% | -13.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $513K | $463K | $402K | $398K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$513K to $1.1M
73.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$398K to $1.1M
110.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | -13.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | -9.4% | |
| Jackson (Tract 080000) | $1.01M | $874K | -13.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | -13.1% | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | +6.8% | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | +1.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850308) | $900K | $901K | +0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 850324) | $982K | $981K | -0.1% | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | -2.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400004 | $776K | $675K | $748K | |
| Jackson (Tract 360005) | $769K | $752K | $731K | |
| Jackson (Tract 000006) | $886K | $803K | $706K | |
| Southwest Jackson | $122K | $123K | $67K | |
| Northeast Jackson area | $95K | $101K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
