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Hughes, SD · ZIP 57501 · Census Tract 46065978000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$292K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$308K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$361K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $194K | $196K | $195K | $188K | $183K | $167K | $163K | $174K | $247K | $284K | $292K | $291K | $298K | $308K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,483 | -$96,183 | -$96,683 | -$104,083 | -$109,083 | -$124,883 | -$129,083 | -$118,483 | -$45,083 | -$8,283 | -$978 | +$6,388 | +$16,165 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.7% | -32.9% | -33.1% | -35.6% | -37.4% | -42.8% | -44.2% | -40.6% | -15.4% | -2.8% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +5.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $249K | $250K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $352K | $361K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$244K to $333K
30.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$250K to $361K
36.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | +6.8% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | +8.5% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | +5.7% | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | +6.8% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | +8.5% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | +5.7% | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | $111K | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | $197K | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | $114K | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hughes, SD · ZIP 57501 · Census Tract 46065978000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$292K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$308K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$361K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $194K | $196K | $195K | $188K | $183K | $167K | $163K | $174K | $247K | $284K | $292K | $291K | $298K | $308K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,483 | -$96,183 | -$96,683 | -$104,083 | -$109,083 | -$124,883 | -$129,083 | -$118,483 | -$45,083 | -$8,283 | -$978 | +$6,388 | +$16,165 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.7% | -32.9% | -33.1% | -35.6% | -37.4% | -42.8% | -44.2% | -40.6% | -15.4% | -2.8% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +5.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $249K | $250K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $352K | $361K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$244K to $333K
30.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$250K to $361K
36.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | +6.8% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | +8.5% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | +5.7% | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | +6.8% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | +8.5% | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | +5.7% | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Hughes area | $289K | $308K | $111K | |
| West Hughes area | $300K | $315K | $197K | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977900) | $191K | $207K | $114K | |
| Pierre area (Tract 977800) | $208K | $220K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
