County 46372, SD · Census Tract 46372960405 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.52M
Downside (P10)
$946K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.70M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.31M
-8% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to -8%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 46372 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.5M | $2.5M | $2.1M | $1.8M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | -1.2% | -16.2% | -13.4% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $946K | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.70M to $2.94M
49.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$946K to $2.31M
80.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840004 | $1.69M | $1.48M | -12.5% |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | -2.6% |
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | +22.4% |
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% |
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | +17.8% |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | +14.0% |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | $331K |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | $380K |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | $418K |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | $595K |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | $679K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources