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Brown, SD · ZIP 57445 · Census Tract 46013951900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$229K
Downside (P10)
$190K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $160K | $155K | $162K | $158K | $157K | $167K | $203K | $214K | $224K | $229K | $234K | $244K | $242K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$72,741 | -$69,241 | -$74,041 | -$66,941 | -$71,441 | -$71,741 | -$61,641 | -$25,641 | -$15,141 | -$5,441 | +$4,992 | +$15,091 | +$13,058 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.8% | -30.2% | -32.3% | -29.2% | -31.2% | -31.3% | -26.9% | -11.2% | -6.6% | -2.4% | +2.2% | +6.6% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $195K | $190K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $280K | $309K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$198K to $280K
35.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$190K to $345K
64.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951400) | $250K | $274K | +9.5% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | +7.6% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951300) | $274K | $286K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen | $147K | $162K | +10.0% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951400) | $250K | $274K | +9.5% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | $155K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | $140K | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | $122K | |
| Aberdeen (Tract 951600) | $171K | $181K | $110K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | $106K | |
| Aberdeen (Tract 951500) | $147K | $162K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Brown, SD · ZIP 57445 · Census Tract 46013951900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$229K
Downside (P10)
$190K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $160K | $155K | $162K | $158K | $157K | $167K | $203K | $214K | $224K | $229K | $234K | $244K | $242K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$72,741 | -$69,241 | -$74,041 | -$66,941 | -$71,441 | -$71,741 | -$61,641 | -$25,641 | -$15,141 | -$5,441 | +$4,992 | +$15,091 | +$13,058 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.8% | -30.2% | -32.3% | -29.2% | -31.2% | -31.3% | -26.9% | -11.2% | -6.6% | -2.4% | +2.2% | +6.6% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $195K | $190K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $280K | $309K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$198K to $280K
35.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$190K to $345K
64.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951400) | $250K | $274K | +9.5% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | +7.6% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951300) | $274K | $286K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | +8.3% | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | +10.8% | |
| Aberdeen | $147K | $162K | +10.0% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951400) | $250K | $274K | +9.5% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | +8.1% | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gem area | $224K | $242K | $155K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951800) | $246K | $265K | $140K | |
| Near Brainard | $217K | $240K | $122K | |
| Aberdeen (Tract 951600) | $171K | $181K | $110K | |
| Aberdeen area (Tract 951700) | $223K | $241K | $106K | |
| Aberdeen (Tract 951500) | $147K | $162K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
