Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
York, SC · ZIP 29730 · Census Tract 45091060102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$357K
Downside (P10)
$304K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$417K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$539K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $152K | $202K | $220K | $225K | $235K | $305K | $307K | $317K | $329K | $343K | $357K | $374K | $392K | $417K |
| YoY Change | +32.8% | +8.9% | +2.7% | +4.3% | +29.7% | +0.6% | +3.4% | +3.7% | +4.1% | +4.2% | +4.6% | +4.8% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $311K | $304K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $474K | $511K | $539K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$309K to $474K
44.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$304K to $539K
56.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Hill · 29730 · (Tract 601.2) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060904) | $361K | $415K | +15.0% | |
| York | $357K | $408K | +14.3% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060913) | $358K | $389K | +8.9% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060700) | $341K | $330K | -3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Hill · 29730 · (Tract 601.2) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061011) | $422K | $501K | +18.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060200) | $201K | $237K | +17.9% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061104) | $493K | $569K | +15.3% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060904) | $361K | $415K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Hill · 29730 · (Tract 601.2) | $353K | $417K | $235K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060401) | $152K | $166K | $112K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060908) | $211K | $224K | $103K | |
| York | $176K | $180K | $102K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060300) | $130K | $140K | $96K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060501) | $171K | $171K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.