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York, SC · ZIP 29726 · Census Tract 45091061401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$207K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$254K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$328K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $106K | $106K | $120K | $135K | $149K | $150K | $196K | $214K | $231K | $238K | $243K | $253K | $254K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,574 | -$132,474 | -$132,574 | -$118,774 | -$103,474 | -$89,274 | -$88,574 | -$42,274 | -$24,874 | -$7,874 | +$4,574 | +$14,846 | +$15,948 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.4% | -55.6% | -55.6% | -49.8% | -43.4% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -17.7% | -10.4% | -3.3% | +1.9% | +6.2% | +6.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $214K | $207K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $278K | $315K | $328K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$214K to $278K
26.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$207K to $328K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | +8.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060802) | $242K | $263K | +9.0% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060804) | $243K | $263K | +8.4% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060803) | $244K | $263K | +7.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060502) | $236K | $244K | +3.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 061301) | $232K | $236K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | +8.1% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061011) | $422K | $501K | +18.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060102) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060200) | $201K | $237K | +17.9% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061104) | $493K | $569K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | $120K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060401) | $152K | $166K | $112K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060908) | $211K | $224K | $103K | |
| York | $176K | $180K | $102K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060300) | $130K | $140K | $96K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060501) | $171K | $171K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
York, SC · ZIP 29726 · Census Tract 45091061401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$207K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$254K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$328K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $106K | $106K | $120K | $135K | $149K | $150K | $196K | $214K | $231K | $238K | $243K | $253K | $254K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$134,574 | -$132,474 | -$132,574 | -$118,774 | -$103,474 | -$89,274 | -$88,574 | -$42,274 | -$24,874 | -$7,874 | +$4,574 | +$14,846 | +$15,948 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.4% | -55.6% | -55.6% | -49.8% | -43.4% | -37.4% | -37.1% | -17.7% | -10.4% | -3.3% | +1.9% | +6.2% | +6.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $214K | $207K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $278K | $315K | $328K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$214K to $278K
26.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$207K to $328K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | +8.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060802) | $242K | $263K | +9.0% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060804) | $243K | $263K | +8.4% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060803) | $244K | $263K | +7.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060502) | $236K | $244K | +3.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 061301) | $232K | $236K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | +8.1% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061011) | $422K | $501K | +18.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060102) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060200) | $201K | $237K | +17.9% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061104) | $493K | $569K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McConnells | $235K | $254K | $120K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060401) | $152K | $166K | $112K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060908) | $211K | $224K | $103K | |
| York | $176K | $180K | $102K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060300) | $130K | $140K | $96K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060501) | $171K | $171K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
