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York, SC · ZIP 29710 · Census Tract 45091061801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$294K
Downside (P10)
$233K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$312K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$441K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $113K | $117K | $154K | $158K | $179K | $186K | $216K | $250K | $283K | $294K | $298K | $311K | $312K |
| YoY Change | +9.7% | +3.3% | +31.7% | +2.3% | +13.8% | +3.6% | +16.2% | +15.7% | +13.4% | +3.7% | +1.6% | +4.3% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $256K | $242K | $233K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $352K | $383K | $441K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$256K to $352K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$233K to $441K
66.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clover · 29710 · (Tract 618.1) | $291K | $312K | +7.0% | |
| Fort Mill | $306K | $338K | +10.4% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060402) | $307K | $339K | +10.4% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 061203) | $274K | $305K | +11.0% | |
| York | $273K | $289K | +5.7% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 061204) | $317K | $338K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clover · 29710 · (Tract 618.1) | $291K | $312K | +7.0% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061011) | $422K | $501K | +18.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060102) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060200) | $201K | $237K | +17.9% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061104) | $493K | $569K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clover · 29710 · (Tract 618.1) | $291K | $312K | $208K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060501) | $171K | $171K | $92K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060300) | $130K | $140K | $96K | |
| York | $176K | $180K | $102K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060908) | $211K | $224K | $103K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060401) | $152K | $166K | $112K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.