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Spartanburg, SC · ZIP 29303 · Census Tract 45083021805 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$128K
Downside (P10)
$110K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$136K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$187K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $100K | $101K | $114K | $126K | $128K | $129K | $133K | $136K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +1.2% | +12.2% | +11.1% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $109K | $114K | $110K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $143K | $166K | $187K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$109K to $143K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$110K to $187K
56.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Shops | $128K | $136K | +6.2% | |
| Mayo | $120K | $137K | +14.7% | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 021600) | $126K | $140K | +11.0% | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 021804) | $117K | $128K | +9.3% | |
| Enoree | $123K | $134K | +9.0% | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 020301) | $133K | $145K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Shops | $128K | $136K | +6.2% | |
| Pauline | $288K | $339K | +17.9% | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 021803) | $220K | $259K | +17.7% | |
| Wellford (Tract 023002) | $247K | $290K | +17.4% | |
| Wellford (Tract 023104) | $174K | $203K | +16.9% | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 022201) | $161K | $185K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Shops | $128K | $136K | $76K | |
| Pacolet | $105K | $111K | $67K | |
| Saxon | $93K | $102K | $59K | |
| Chesnee | $103K | $111K | $55K | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 020400) | $84K | $92K | $48K | |
| Spartanburg (Tract 021804) | $117K | $128K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.