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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lancaster, SC · ZIP 29707 · Census Tract 45057011206 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$450K
Downside (P10)
$383K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$463K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$631K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $316K | $354K | $440K | $450K | $460K | $468K | $463K |
| YoY Change | +12.0% | +24.3% | +2.4% | +2.2% | +1.7% | -1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $407K | $399K | $383K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $533K | $581K | $631K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$407K to $533K
27.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$383K to $631K
53.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck · Fort Mill · (Tract 112.6) | $445K | $463K | +4.0% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011209) | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011210) | $436K | $495K | +13.5% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011208) | $443K | $489K | +10.4% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011207) | $447K | $493K | +10.2% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011205) | $493K | $531K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck · Fort Mill · (Tract 112.6) | $445K | $463K | +4.0% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010900) | $319K | $367K | +15.0% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011209) | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011210) | $436K | $495K | +13.5% | |
| Tradesville | $262K | $295K | +12.6% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck · Fort Mill · (Tract 112.6) | $445K | $463K | $247K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 011001) | $169K | $179K | $84K | |
| Kershaw | $164K | $183K | $80K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | $80K | |
| Heath Springs | $150K | $153K | $72K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010700) | $93K | $96K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.