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Horry, SC · ZIP 29575 · Census Tract 45051051201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$512K
Downside (P10)
$421K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$550K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$740K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $295K | $276K | $268K | $301K | $292K | $325K | $342K | $418K | $452K | $479K | $512K | $533K | $547K | $550K |
| YoY Change | -6.6% | -2.8% | +12.4% | -3.1% | +11.2% | +5.4% | +22.2% | +8.2% | +5.9% | +6.9% | +4.1% | +2.7% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $418K | $415K | $421K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $597K | $668K | $740K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$418K to $597K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$421K to $740K
58.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surfside Beach · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 512.1) | $496K | $550K | +10.9% | |
| Conway East (Tract 060303) | $456K | $504K | +10.6% | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050402) | $451K | $493K | +9.3% | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 051608) | $446K | $476K | +6.8% | |
| Conway East (Tract 060210) | $486K | $506K | +4.2% | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050303) | $541K | $548K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surfside Beach · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 512.1) | $496K | $550K | +10.9% | |
| Conway East | $223K | $258K | +15.9% | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | +15.1% | |
| Socastee | $188K | $216K | +15.1% | |
| Myrtle Beach | $275K | $314K | +14.2% | |
| Conway | $226K | $257K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surfside Beach · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 512.1) | $496K | $550K | $320K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050901) | $141K | $159K | $89K | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | $83K | |
| Loris | $125K | $131K | $81K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050902) | $115K | $118K | $66K | |
| Floyds Crossroads | $98K | $107K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.