Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Horry, SC · ZIP 29579 · Census Tract 45051060211 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$304K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$397K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $163K | $163K | $202K | $253K | $284K | $287K | $296K | $298K | $304K | $295K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | +23.8% | +25.1% | +12.3% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $250K | $243K | $232K | $263K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $355K | $382K | $397K | $334K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$250K to $355K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$263K to $334K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conway East · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 602.11) | $293K | $304K | +3.7% | |
| Myrtle Beach | $275K | $314K | +14.2% | |
| Aynor | $288K | $323K | +11.9% | |
| Conway | $277K | $303K | +9.1% | |
| Little River (Tract 040101) | $278K | $300K | +7.9% | |
| Little River (Tract 040102) | $292K | $298K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conway East · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 602.11) | $293K | $304K | +3.7% | |
| Conway East | $223K | $258K | +15.9% | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | +15.1% | |
| Socastee | $188K | $216K | +15.1% | |
| Myrtle Beach | $275K | $314K | +14.2% | |
| Conway | $226K | $257K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conway East · Myrtle Beach · (Tract 602.11) | $293K | $304K | $165K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050901) | $141K | $159K | $89K | |
| Aynor | $128K | $147K | $83K | |
| Loris | $125K | $131K | $81K | |
| Myrtle Beach (Tract 050902) | $115K | $118K | $66K | |
| Floyds Crossroads | $98K | $107K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.