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Fairfield, SC · ZIP 29015 · Census Tract 45039960100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$115K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$124K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$187K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $68K | $71K | $76K | $71K | $90K | $122K | $113K | $103K | $113K | $111K | $115K | $118K | $125K | $124K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$47,306 | -$44,206 | -$39,406 | -$44,506 | -$25,706 | +$6,794 | -$2,306 | -$12,006 | -$2,006 | -$4,606 | +$2,944 | +$9,355 | +$9,025 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.0% | -38.3% | -34.2% | -38.6% | -22.3% | +5.9% | -2.0% | -10.4% | -1.7% | -4.0% | +2.6% | +8.1% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $104K | $102K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $144K | $163K | $187K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$104K to $144K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $187K
72.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | +10.6% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | +15.4% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | +9.3% | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | +8.9% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960402) | $158K | $170K | +7.8% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960501) | $118K | $125K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | +10.6% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | +15.4% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 960302) | $412K | $459K | +11.4% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 960301) | $196K | $215K | +9.8% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | +9.3% | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | $90K | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | $108K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960402) | $158K | $170K | $98K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960501) | $118K | $125K | $84K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | $79K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fairfield, SC · ZIP 29015 · Census Tract 45039960100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$115K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$124K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$187K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $68K | $71K | $76K | $71K | $90K | $122K | $113K | $103K | $113K | $111K | $115K | $118K | $125K | $124K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$47,306 | -$44,206 | -$39,406 | -$44,506 | -$25,706 | +$6,794 | -$2,306 | -$12,006 | -$2,006 | -$4,606 | +$2,944 | +$9,355 | +$9,025 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.0% | -38.3% | -34.2% | -38.6% | -22.3% | +5.9% | -2.0% | -10.4% | -1.7% | -4.0% | +2.6% | +8.1% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $104K | $102K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $144K | $163K | $187K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$104K to $144K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $187K
72.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | +10.6% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | +15.4% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | +9.3% | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | +8.9% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960402) | $158K | $170K | +7.8% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960501) | $118K | $125K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | +10.6% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | +15.4% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 960302) | $412K | $459K | +11.4% | |
| Ridgeway (Tract 960301) | $196K | $215K | +9.8% | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | +9.3% | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monticello-Salem Crossroads | $112K | $124K | $90K | |
| Winnsboro North | $180K | $196K | $108K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960402) | $158K | $170K | $98K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960501) | $118K | $125K | $84K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960401) | $123K | $142K | $79K | |
| Winnsboro South (Tract 960502) | $109K | $120K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
