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Providence, RI · ZIP 02895 · Census Tract 44007017700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$340K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$536K
+57% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $155K | $159K | $173K | $180K | $194K | $230K | $259K | $279K | $328K | $342K | $346K | $350K | $340K |
| YoY Change | -3.8% | +2.4% | +9.0% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +18.4% | +12.8% | +7.6% | +17.7% | +4.2% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $286K | $284K | $269K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $404K | $437K | $536K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$286K to $404K
34.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$269K to $536K
78.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woonsocket | $336K | $340K | +1.4% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Cranston (Tract 013701) | $345K | $383K | +11.2% | |
| Cranston (Tract 013702) | $345K | $403K | +16.8% | |
| Cranston (Tract 013800) | $346K | $400K | +15.6% | |
| Providence | $338K | $363K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woonsocket | $336K | $340K | +1.4% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woonsocket | $336K | $340K | $267K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.