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Providence, RI · ZIP 02860 · Census Tract 44007016100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$366K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$403K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$605K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $160K | $164K | $208K | $216K | $234K | $244K | $293K | $321K | $356K | $366K | $370K | $379K | $403K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$206,950 | -$205,750 | -$202,050 | -$158,050 | -$149,850 | -$132,450 | -$121,850 | -$73,050 | -$45,150 | -$10,550 | +$3,799 | +$13,323 | +$37,275 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.5% | -56.2% | -55.2% | -43.2% | -40.9% | -36.2% | -33.3% | -20.0% | -12.3% | -2.9% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $296K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $523K | $564K | $605K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$302K to $523K
59.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $605K
78.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | +7.1% | |
| Pawtucket | $366K | $409K | +11.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 001100) | $365K | $405K | +11.1% | |
| North Providence | $364K | $397K | +9.1% | |
| Providence (Tract 001000) | $366K | $390K | +6.6% | |
| Providence (Tract 002400) | $367K | $376K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | +7.1% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | $315K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Providence, RI · ZIP 02860 · Census Tract 44007016100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$366K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$403K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$605K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $160K | $164K | $208K | $216K | $234K | $244K | $293K | $321K | $356K | $366K | $370K | $379K | $403K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$206,950 | -$205,750 | -$202,050 | -$158,050 | -$149,850 | -$132,450 | -$121,850 | -$73,050 | -$45,150 | -$10,550 | +$3,799 | +$13,323 | +$37,275 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.5% | -56.2% | -55.2% | -43.2% | -40.9% | -36.2% | -33.3% | -20.0% | -12.3% | -2.9% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +10.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $296K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $523K | $564K | $605K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$302K to $523K
59.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $605K
78.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | +7.1% | |
| Pawtucket | $366K | $409K | +11.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 001100) | $365K | $405K | +11.1% | |
| North Providence | $364K | $397K | +9.1% | |
| Providence (Tract 001000) | $366K | $390K | +6.6% | |
| Providence (Tract 002400) | $367K | $376K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | +7.1% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pawtucket · 02860 · (Tract 161) | $376K | $403K | $315K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
