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Providence, RI · ZIP 02864 · Census Tract 44007011405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$446K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$512K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $373K | $358K | $435K | $451K | $472K | $490K | $503K | $510K | $512K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,200 | -$132,200 | -$55,300 | -$39,700 | -$18,800 | +$12,408 | +$20,000 | +$21,110 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.9% | -27.0% | -11.3% | -8.1% | -3.8% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $453K | $438K | $446K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $627K | $630K | $693K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$453K to $627K
34.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$446K to $693K
48.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | +6.3% | |
| Providence | $496K | $573K | +15.7% | |
| Pawtucket | $500K | $552K | +10.4% | |
| Lincoln | $499K | $535K | +7.4% | |
| Cranston | $479K | $506K | +5.6% | |
| North Smithfield | $480K | $506K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | +6.3% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | $247K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Providence, RI · ZIP 02864 · Census Tract 44007011405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$446K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$512K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $373K | $358K | $435K | $451K | $472K | $490K | $503K | $510K | $512K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,200 | -$132,200 | -$55,300 | -$39,700 | -$18,800 | +$12,408 | +$20,000 | +$21,110 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.9% | -27.0% | -11.3% | -8.1% | -3.8% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $453K | $438K | $446K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $627K | $630K | $693K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$453K to $627K
34.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$446K to $693K
48.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | +6.3% | |
| Providence | $496K | $573K | +15.7% | |
| Pawtucket | $500K | $552K | +10.4% | |
| Lincoln | $499K | $535K | +7.4% | |
| Cranston | $479K | $506K | +5.6% | |
| North Smithfield | $480K | $506K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | +6.3% | |
| Providence (Tract 003100) | $533K | $630K | +18.2% | |
| East Providence | $344K | $405K | +17.8% | |
| Providence (Tract 002000) | $310K | $364K | +17.7% | |
| Providence (Tract 000600) | $252K | $296K | +17.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 001800) | $321K | $375K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland · 02864 · (Tract 114.5) | $481K | $512K | $247K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018000) | $234K | $250K | $124K | |
| Woonsocket (Tract 018200) | $239K | $249K | $119K | |
| Providence (Tract 001700) | $248K | $269K | $119K | |
| Pawtucket | $243K | $250K | $116K | |
| Providence (Tract 002801) | $236K | $241K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
