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Toa Baja Municipio, PR · ZIP 00949 · Census Tract 72137121801 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$109K
Downside (P10)
$88K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$110K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$160K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $102K | $100K | $96K | $90K | $79K | $82K | $76K | $83K | $95K | $109K | $109K | $108K | $115K | $110K | $113K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | -4.6% | -5.5% | -12.7% | +4.2% | -7.4% | +9.3% | +14.0% | +14.9% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +6.3% | -4.5% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $91K | $88K | $100K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $133K | $152K | $160K | $128K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$93K to $133K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$100K to $128K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1218.1) | $109K | $110K | +1.3% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122201) | $129K | $146K | +13.2% | |
| Sabana Seca | $115K | $128K | +10.7% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121702) | $112K | $122K | +9.3% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122400) | $94K | $100K | +7.0% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122202) | $87K | $93K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1218.1) | $109K | $110K | +1.3% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121701) | $138K | $157K | +14.1% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122201) | $129K | $146K | +13.2% | |
| Sabana Seca | $115K | $128K | +10.7% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 120400) | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121900) | $161K | $177K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1218.1) | $109K | $110K | $72K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122201) | $129K | $146K | $63K | |
| Sabana Seca | $115K | $128K | $63K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122400) | $94K | $100K | $53K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122202) | $87K | $93K | $48K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122100) | $73K | $77K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.