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Toa Baja Municipio, PR · ZIP 00949 · Census Tract 72137120600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$161K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$169K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$242K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $150K | $141K | $136K | $137K | $135K | $137K | $143K | $155K | $159K | $157K | $161K | $163K | $169K | $169K |
| YoY Change | -5.9% | -4.0% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +1.0% | +4.3% | +8.7% | +2.3% | -0.8% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $142K | $139K | $130K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $195K | $215K | $242K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$142K to $195K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$130K to $242K
66.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1206) | $159K | $169K | +6.8% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121900) | $161K | $177K | +10.0% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121002) | $158K | $167K | +5.9% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122001) | $156K | $165K | +5.7% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 120300) | $156K | $165K | +5.6% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 120500) | $166K | $169K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1206) | $159K | $169K | +6.8% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121701) | $138K | $157K | +14.1% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122201) | $129K | $146K | +13.2% | |
| Sabana Seca | $115K | $128K | +10.7% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 120400) | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 121900) | $161K | $177K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Baja · 00949 · (Tract 1206) | $159K | $169K | $113K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122201) | $129K | $146K | $63K | |
| Sabana Seca | $115K | $128K | $63K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122400) | $94K | $100K | $53K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122202) | $87K | $93K | $48K | |
| Toa Baja (Tract 122100) | $73K | $77K | $39K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.