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Toa Alta Municipio, PR · ZIP 00953 · Census Tract 72135510702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$124K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$150K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$218K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $122K | $122K | $108K | $106K | $94K | $87K | $83K | $106K | $118K | $137K | $142K | $147K | $151K | $150K |
| YoY Change | +0.2% | -11.3% | -2.6% | -10.9% | -7.1% | -4.8% | +27.3% | +11.2% | +16.5% | +3.7% | +3.1% | +2.8% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $128K | $128K | $124K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $171K | $195K | $218K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$128K to $171K
29.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$124K to $218K
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Alta | $141K | $150K | +6.0% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510504) | $157K | $173K | +10.1% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510503) | $140K | $154K | +9.6% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510502) | $128K | $138K | +8.5% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510102) | $161K | $168K | +4.1% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510701) | $159K | $165K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Alta | $141K | $150K | +6.0% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510101) | $182K | $213K | +17.0% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510601) | $246K | $277K | +12.8% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510300) | $119K | $131K | +10.4% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510504) | $157K | $173K | +10.1% | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510503) | $140K | $154K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toa Alta | $141K | $150K | $94K | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510503) | $140K | $154K | $78K | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510102) | $161K | $168K | $75K | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510502) | $128K | $138K | $74K | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510300) | $119K | $131K | $72K | |
| Toa Alta (Tract 510400) | $117K | $124K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.