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Ponce Municipio, PR · ZIP 00717 · Census Tract 72113071900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$95K
Downside (P10)
$83K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$99K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$118K
+25% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +25%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $92K | $92K | $91K | $88K | $93K | $88K | $95K | $93K | $91K | $95K | $95K | $97K | $99K | $95K |
| YoY Change | +10.1% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -2.8% | +5.0% | -5.4% | +8.0% | -1.6% | -2.4% | +4.3% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +2.1% | -4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $82K | $83K | $83K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $107K | $117K | $118K | $107K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$80K to $107K
28.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$83K to $107K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce · 00717 · (Tract 719) | $94K | $99K | +4.9% | |
| Ponce (Tract 070400) | $91K | $101K | +10.7% | |
| Ponce (Tract 070201) | $99K | $105K | +6.8% | |
| Ponce (Tract 070502) | $101K | $99K | -1.9% | |
| Ponce (Tract 073009) | $87K | $91K | +4.1% | |
| Ponce (Tract 072703) | $103K | $111K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce · 00717 · (Tract 719) | $94K | $99K | +4.9% | |
| Ponce (Tract 073004) | $114K | $132K | +16.6% | |
| Ponce (Tract 071800) | $57K | $65K | +13.8% | |
| Ponce (Tract 070400) | $91K | $101K | +10.7% | |
| Ponce (Tract 072201) | $122K | $135K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce · 00717 · (Tract 719) | $94K | $99K | $36K | |
| Ponce (Tract 070800) | $51K | $56K | $30K | |
| Ponce (Tract 072101) | $61K | $66K | $33K | |
| Ponce (Tract 070202) | $51K | $56K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.