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Carolina Municipio, PR · ZIP 00987 · Census Tract 72031051104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$147K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$195K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$242K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $173K | $170K | $162K | $159K | $156K | $145K | $163K | $160K | $175K | $174K | $184K | $192K | $195K | $181K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | -1.5% | -4.6% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -7.0% | +12.0% | -1.6% | +9.0% | -0.6% | +6.0% | +4.2% | +2.0% | -7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $148K | $150K | $147K | $163K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $215K | $242K | $203K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$148K to $207K
31.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$163K to $203K
22.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | $177K | $195K | +10.5% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050211) | $170K | $184K | +8.7% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050221) | $170K | $179K | +5.1% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050812) | $166K | $172K | +4.1% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050212) | $181K | $187K | +3.5% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050231) | $170K | $176K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | $177K | $195K | +10.5% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050302) | $129K | $150K | +16.2% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050331) | $163K | $183K | +12.4% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050503) | $143K | $159K | +11.1% | |
| Carolina (Tract 050822) | $161K | $177K | +10.5% | |
| Carolina (Tract 051102) | $139K | $153K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina | $177K | $195K | $95K | |
| Carolina (Tract 050105) | $121K | $128K | $63K | |
| Carolina (Tract 051001) | $116K | $114K | $63K | |
| Carolina (Tract 050700) | $116K | $123K | $53K | |
| Carolina (Tract 050841) | $119K | $124K | $52K | |
| Carolina (Tract 051002) | $99K | $107K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.