What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42133020321 in Washington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,437 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42133020321 in Washington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,437 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 42133020321 (Washington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42133020321, Washington Home Price Forecast

York, PA · ZIP 17316 · Census Tract 42133020321 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$315K

Downside (P10)

$261K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$342K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$430K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$235K	$249K	$271K	$298K	$302K	$315K	$325K	$328K	$342K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$80,537	-$66,237	-$44,637	-$17,937	-$13,637		+$9,430	+$12,144	+$26,710
Growth % vs 2026	-25.5%	-21.0%	-14.2%	-5.7%	-4.3%		+3.0%	+3.8%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)							$266K	$255K	$261K
Upside (P90)							$389K	$420K	$430K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$266K to $389K

38.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$261K to $430K

49.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42133020321, Washington on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).