What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071010103 in West Cocalico · Denver · (Tract 101.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $313,546 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071010103 in West Cocalico · Denver · (Tract 101.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $313,546 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

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Parcel 42071010103 (West Cocalico) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42071010103, West Cocalico · Denver · (Tract 101.3) Home Price Forecast

Lancaster, PA · ZIP 17517 · Census Tract 42071010103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$314K

Downside (P10)

$275K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$337K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$451K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$229K	$228K	$264K	$269K	$300K	$314K	$324K	$341K	$337K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$84,546	-$85,746	-$49,846	-$44,246	-$13,246		+$10,547	+$27,535	+$23,732
Growth % vs 2026	-27.0%	-27.3%	-15.9%	-14.1%	-4.2%		+3.4%	+8.8%	+7.6%
Downside (P10)							$283K	$292K	$275K
Upside (P90)							$392K	$425K	$451K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$283K to $392K

33.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$275K to $451K

52.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.6% · Spread: 52%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42071010103, West Cocalico · Denver · (Tract 101.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).