What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071012105 in Warwick?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,625 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071012105 in Warwick?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,625 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

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Parcel 42071012105 (Warwick) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42071012105, Warwick Home Price Forecast

Lancaster, PA · ZIP 17543 · Census Tract 42071012105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$316K

Downside (P10)

$261K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$348K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$484K

+53% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$234K	$237K	$243K	$264K	$308K	$316K	$326K	$340K	$348K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$82,025	-$79,125	-$72,725	-$51,525	-$7,825		+$10,169	+$24,340	+$32,557
Growth % vs 2026	-26.0%	-25.1%	-23.0%	-16.3%	-2.5%		+3.2%	+7.7%	+10.3%
Downside (P10)							$259K	$269K	$261K
Upside (P90)							$406K	$457K	$484K

Forecast Confidence

65%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$259K to $406K

45.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$261K to $484K

63.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.3% · Spread: 64%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 42071012105, Warwick on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).