What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071010902 in Mount Joy?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $209,217 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42071010902 in Mount Joy?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $209,217 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.2%.

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Parcel 42071010902 (Mount Joy) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42071010902, Mount Joy Home Price Forecast

Lancaster, PA · ZIP 17552 · Census Tract 42071010902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$209K

Downside (P10)

$181K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$216K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$276K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$161K	$174K	$205K	$211K	$204K	$209K	$209K	$220K	$216K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$47,917	-$35,217	-$4,017	+$1,783	-$5,617		-$279	+$11,027	+$6,600
Growth % vs 2026	-22.9%	-16.8%	-1.9%	+0.9%	-2.7%		-0.1%	+5.3%	+3.2%
Downside (P10)							$183K	$186K	$181K
Upside (P90)							$252K	$269K	$276K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$183K to $252K

33.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$181K to $276K

43.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.2% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42071010902, Mount Joy on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).