What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42045410102 in Thornbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $824,732 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42045410102 in Thornbury?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $824,732 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

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Parcel 42045410102 (Thornbury) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42045410102, Thornbury Home Price Forecast

Delaware, PA · ZIP 19373 · Census Tract 42045410102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$825K

Downside (P10)

$672K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$894K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.17M

+42% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$652K	$715K	$682K	$757K	$778K	$825K	$844K	$850K	$894K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$173,232	-$109,932	-$143,232	-$68,032	-$46,632		+$19,459	+$25,666	+$68,829
Growth % vs 2026	-21.0%	-13.3%	-17.4%	-8.2%	-5.7%		+2.4%	+3.1%	+8.3%
Downside (P10)							$670K	$666K	$672K
Upside (P90)							$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.2M

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$670K to $1.0M

39.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$672K to $1.2M

55.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.3% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42045410102, Thornbury on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).