What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42031160103 in Clarion · 16214 · (Tract 1601.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,644 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 42031160103 in Clarion · 16214 · (Tract 1601.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,644 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 42031160103 (Clarion) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 42031160103, Clarion · 16214 · (Tract 1601.3) Home Price Forecast

Clarion, PA · ZIP 16214 · Census Tract 42031160103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$181K

Downside (P10)

$161K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$188K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$258K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$195K	$185K	$220K	$176K	$177K	$181K	$184K	$193K	$188K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$14,056	+$4,256	+$39,256	-$4,444	-$3,744		+$3,259	+$12,703	+$6,918
Growth % vs 2026	+7.8%	+2.4%	+21.7%	-2.5%	-2.1%		+1.8%	+7.0%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$159K	$161K	$161K
Upside (P90)							$229K	$251K	$258K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$159K to $229K

38.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$161K to $258K

51.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 42031160103, Clarion · 16214 · (Tract 1601.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).